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Canonical Numbers — Research Paper: "Adaptive Governance in Coastal Communities"

Last updated: 2026-03-01
Maintained by: Dr. Amara Diallo
Rule: Only use statistics and citations verified in this file. If it isn't here, don't use it.


Citations (Verified Sources)

All citations manually verified in library system. AI may not add citations without manual verification.

Ref ID Citation Verified Notes
REF-001 Ostrom, E. (1990). Governing the Commons. Cambridge University Press. Core IAD framework
REF-002 Chaffin, B., Gosnell, H., & Cosens, B. (2014). A decade of adaptive governance scholarship. Ecology and Society, 19(3), 56. Definition of adaptive governance used in paper
REF-003 Cleaver, F. (2012). Development through Bricolage. Routledge. Institutional bricolage definition
REF-004 Adger, W.N., et al. (2005). Social-ecological resilience to coastal disasters. Science, 309(5737), 1036–1039.
REF-005 Ekstrom, J., & Young, O. (2009). Evaluating functional fit. Global Environmental Change, 19(2), 180–191.
REF-006 Folke, C., et al. (2005). Adaptive governance of social-ecological systems. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 30, 441–473.
REF-007 Huitema, D., et al. (2009). Adaptive water governance. Ecology and Society, 14(1), 26. Polycentric governance
REF-008 IPCC (2022). AR6 Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press. SLR projections
REF-009 Semarang City Government (2021). Coastal Adaptation Plan 2021–2030. Primary source — obtained fieldwork
REF-010 Dar es Salaam Urban Planning Dept (2019). Waterfront Governance Review. Primary source — obtained fieldwork
REF-011 Cartagena District (2020). Climate Adaptation Framework. Primary source — limited data
REF-012 Yin, R. (2018). Case Study Research and Applications (6th ed.). SAGE. Methodology justification
REF-013 Baxter, P., & Jack, S. (2008). Qualitative case study methodology. The Qualitative Report, 13(4), 544–559. Multiple case study justification
REF-UNVERIFIED Any citation AI suggests goes here first pending verification Do not cite until moved to verified row

Statistics Used in Paper

All figures must be sourced here before appearing in any draft.

Stat ID Statistic Source Used in section Notes
STAT-001 SLR projected 0.3–1.0m by 2100 (medium-high scenario) IPCC AR6 (REF-008), p. 1141 Section 1 Use RCP 4.5/8.5 range
STAT-002 1 billion people living in low-elevation coastal zones IPCC AR6 (REF-008), p. 1024 Section 1
STAT-003 Semarang subsidence rate: 7–25cm/year Semarang City Plan (REF-009), p. 14 Section 3, Case 2 Combined SLR+subsidence = acute risk
STAT-004 Dar es Salaam population in coastal zone: 4.4 million UN-Habitat (2023) → need to add as REF-014 Section 3, Case 1 ⚠️ REF-014 not yet verified
STAT-005 Three case studies: 12 total semi-structured interviews Author's fieldwork, 2025 Section 2 (Methodology) Distribution: DSM=5, Semarang=5, Cartagena=2
STAT-006 Cartagena interviews: n=2 (limited) Author's fieldwork, 2025 Methodology limitation section Flag in text

⚠️ STAT-004 flagged: REF-014 (UN-Habitat 2023) not yet verified in library. Do not use in published draft until verified.


Fieldwork Data

Item Value Notes
Total interviews conducted 12 Across 3 cities
Dar es Salaam 5 interviews Oct 2025, municipal officials + 2 NGO
Semarang 5 interviews Nov 2025, planning dept + community reps
Cartagena 2 interviews Dec 2025, limited access — acknowledge in paper
Interview recording format Audio + written consent Stored encrypted
Fieldwork dates Oct–Dec 2025

Key Dates

Milestone Date Status
Fieldwork complete 2025-12-20
Literature review approved 2026-01-30
Chapter 4 draft to supervisor 2026-03-15
Full draft complete 2026-04-30
Supervisor final approval 2026-05-30
Submission deadline 2026-06-15