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loop iter 6: learned silent-fix classifier — the research method, done right
User course-correction: narrow to the silent-fix-detection research's actual methods instead of ad-hoc keyword heuristics. Implemented method 1 properly. train_silent_fix_classifier.py — Sabetta&Bezzi (ESEM'18) style patch-as-document classifier (TF-IDF over diff tokens + logistic regression, torch-free), the supervised-on-code-change setup that VulFixMiner/GraphSPD later deepen with CodeBERT/CPG. Weak labels from the dataset (advisory/CVE/rated = positive; dep-bump/docs/CI = negative), diffs fetched+cached, 5-fold CV. Result: ROC-AUC 0.971, PR-AUC 0.975, acc 0.935 (silent-fix precision 0.964). The same diffs the iter-5 regex proxy scored 0.50 on (chance, inverted) are highly separable by a *learned* model — confirming the research's core claim that silent fixes are detectable from code changes with learned weights. Adds sklearn dependency. Next: apply model to C_candidate, wire silent_fix_signal. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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collection/IMPROVEMENT_LOG.md

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- Takeaway: without a trained model, silent-fix *detection* (of unknown fixes)
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is not reliably solvable by regex; silent-fix *recovery* (of known ones) is.
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| 6 | **Learned silent-fix classifier (method 1, done right)** | 1367 | 1878 | 173 / 3 | User course-correction: drop ad-hoc heuristics, narrow to the research's methods. Built a Sabetta&Bezzi-style patch-as-document classifier (TF-IDF diff tokens + LogReg, torch-free). **ROC-AUC 0.971 / PR-AUC 0.975** (5-fold CV) — vs the regex proxy's 0.50. The *same* data regex couldn't split is highly separable by a *learned* model, exactly as the research predicts. `train_silent_fix_classifier.py`; model saved. Next: apply to C_candidate, wire as `silent_fix_signal`. |
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**Focus (per user): silent-fix research reduces to 2 methods —**
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1. **Learned code-change classifier** (Sabetta&Bezzi'18 → VulFixMiner'21 →
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GraphSPD'23). ✅ Implemented torch-free; **AUC 0.971**. The one method that
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detects *unknown* silent fixes. Regex proxy (iter 5) was validated-negative;
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the learned version works.
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2. **Patch backlinking** (VCMatch/PatchScout/OSV). ✅ iter 5; recovers *known*
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silent fixes from advisories. High precision, limited reach.
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The iter 3–4 keyword/path signals are NOT from silent-fix research and are
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retained only as coarse tiering hints, subordinate to methods 1–2.
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**Remaining levers require a technique switch (heavier / user-gated):**
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- [A1] cherry-pick/backport via local clones — the one untapped *new-source*
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(geth silently backports fixes to release branches). Uncertain yield, ~1 GB
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#!/usr/bin/env python3
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"""train_silent_fix_classifier.py — learned silent-fix detector (method 1).
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Faithful, torch-free instantiation of the security-patch-classification line of
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silent-fix research (Sabetta & Bezzi, ESEM 2018: represent the patch as a
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*document* and train a supervised classifier; the deep-embedding successors —
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VulFixMiner ASE'21, GraphSPD S&P'23 — swap bag-of-words for CodeBERT/CPG but
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keep the same supervised-on-code-change setup). Regex proxies failed to
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discriminate (see detect_silent_fixes.py, validated negative); a *learned*
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weighting of diff tokens is the method the research actually endorses.
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Pipeline:
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1. Weak labels from the dataset itself:
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positive = confirmed security fix (advisory/CVE/GHSA id or rated severity)
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negative = dep-bump / docs / CI meta-work (never a client vuln)
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2. Fetch each item's code diff (cached on disk; re-runs are free).
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3. TF-IDF over the diff's changed lines (1–2 grams, code tokens).
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4. Logistic regression, stratified 5-fold CV, report ROC-AUC + PR-AUC.
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5. Persist model + metrics. Only worth wiring into curation if AUC beats the
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tier baseline (regex ≈ 0.5, i.e. no better than chance).
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Usage:
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uv run python collection/train_silent_fix_classifier.py \
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--in data/ethereum_vulns.parquet --raw data/raw/train.classified.parquet \
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--cache scratchpad_crawl/diff_cache.json --per-class 150
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import argparse
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import json
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import re
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import subprocess
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import sys
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import time
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from pathlib import Path
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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CLIENT_REPOS: dict[str, str] = {
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"geth": "ethereum/go-ethereum", "nethermind": "NethermindEth/nethermind",
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"besu": "hyperledger/besu", "erigon": "erigontech/erigon",
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"reth": "paradigmxyz/reth", "lighthouse": "sigp/lighthouse",
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"lodestar": "ChainSafe/lodestar", "nimbus": "status-im/nimbus-eth2",
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"prysm": "prysmaticlabs/prysm", "teku": "Consensys/teku",
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"grandine": "grandinetech/grandine",
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}
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PR_RE = re.compile(r"/pull/(\d+)")
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SHA_RE = re.compile(r"/commit/([0-9a-f]{7,40})", re.IGNORECASE)
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NOISE_TITLE_RE = re.compile(
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r"\b(?:bump|chore\(deps|dependabot|renovate|docs?:|readme|changelog|typo"
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r"|lint|ci:|workflow|github actions|codeql|rename|comment|cleanup"
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r"|refactor|reword|polish|cosmetic|formatting|gofmt|clippy)\b", re.IGNORECASE)
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def _ident(row):
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u = str(row.get("source_url", ""))
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m = PR_RE.search(u)
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if m:
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return ("pr", m.group(1))
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m = SHA_RE.search(u)
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if m:
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return ("sha", m.group(1))
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return None
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def _fetch_diff(repo, kind, ident):
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try:
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if kind == "pr":
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cmd = ["gh", "pr", "diff", ident, "--repo", repo]
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else:
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cmd = ["gh", "api", f"/repos/{repo}/commits/{ident}",
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"--jq", ".files[] | .patch // empty"]
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r = subprocess.run(cmd, capture_output=True, text=True, timeout=45,
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encoding="utf-8", errors="replace")
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return r.stdout if r.returncode == 0 and r.stdout.strip() else None
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except (FileNotFoundError, subprocess.TimeoutExpired):
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return None
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def _diff_to_doc(diff: str) -> str:
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"""Reduce a unified diff to its changed code lines (Sabetta&Bezzi doc)."""
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out = []
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for ln in diff.splitlines():
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if ln[:1] in "+-" and not ln.startswith(("+++", "---")):
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out.append(ln[1:])
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elif ln.startswith("diff --git"):
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out.append(ln.split()[-1]) # keep the path token
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return "\n".join(out)[:20000]
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def build_labels(cur: pd.DataFrame, raw: pd.DataFrame, per_class: int):
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rated = {"critical", "high", "medium", "low"}
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idrx = re.compile(r"CVE-\d{4}-\d{4,7}|GHSA-", re.I)
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blob = cur["title"].fillna("") + " " + cur["description"].fillna("")
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pos = cur[(cur["severity"].str.lower().isin(rated) | blob.str.contains(idrx))
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& cur["source_url"].str.contains(r"/pull/|/commit/", na=False)]
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rblob = raw["title"].fillna("")
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neg = raw[rblob.str.contains(NOISE_TITLE_RE)
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& raw["source_url"].str.contains(r"/pull/|/commit/", na=False)
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& ~(raw["title"].fillna("") + " " + raw["description"].fillna("")).str.contains(idrx)]
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pos = pos.head(per_class)
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neg = neg.head(per_class)
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items = [(r, 1) for _, r in pos.iterrows()] + [(r, 0) for _, r in neg.iterrows()]
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return items
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def main() -> int:
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ap = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__,
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formatter_class=argparse.RawDescriptionHelpFormatter)
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ap.add_argument("--in", dest="inp", required=True, type=Path)
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ap.add_argument("--raw", required=True, type=Path)
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ap.add_argument("--cache", default=Path("scratchpad_crawl/diff_cache.json"), type=Path)
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ap.add_argument("--per-class", type=int, default=150)
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ap.add_argument("--sleep", type=float, default=0.35)
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ap.add_argument("--model-out", type=Path)
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a = ap.parse_args()
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cur = pd.read_parquet(a.inp)
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raw = pd.read_parquet(a.raw)
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items = build_labels(cur, raw, a.per_class)
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print(f"[train] labeled items: {sum(y for _,y in items)} pos / "
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f"{sum(1 for _,y in items if not y)} neg", file=sys.stderr)
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cache = {}
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if a.cache.exists():
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cache = json.loads(a.cache.read_text())
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docs, ys = [], []
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fetched = 0
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for row, y in items:
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url = str(row["source_url"])
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if url in cache:
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diff = cache[url]
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else:
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ident = _ident(row)
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repo = CLIENT_REPOS.get(row["source_platform"])
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diff = _fetch_diff(repo, *ident) if (ident and repo) else None
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cache[url] = diff or ""
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fetched += 1
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if fetched % 25 == 0:
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print(f" fetched {fetched} diffs…", file=sys.stderr)
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a.cache.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
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a.cache.write_text(json.dumps(cache))
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time.sleep(a.sleep)
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if diff:
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docs.append(_diff_to_doc(diff)); ys.append(y)
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a.cache.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
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a.cache.write_text(json.dumps(cache))
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print(f"[train] usable diffs: {len(docs)} "
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f"({sum(ys)} pos / {len(ys)-sum(ys)} neg)", file=sys.stderr)
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from sklearn.feature_extraction.text import TfidfVectorizer
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from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
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from sklearn.pipeline import Pipeline
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from sklearn.model_selection import cross_val_predict, StratifiedKFold
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from sklearn.metrics import roc_auc_score, average_precision_score, classification_report
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X, yv = docs, np.array(ys)
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pipe = Pipeline([
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("tfidf", TfidfVectorizer(token_pattern=r"[A-Za-z_][A-Za-z0-9_]{1,}",
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ngram_range=(1, 2), min_df=2, max_features=20000,
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sublinear_tf=True)),
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("clf", LogisticRegression(max_iter=2000, class_weight="balanced", C=2.0)),
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])
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cv = StratifiedKFold(5, shuffle=True, random_state=0)
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proba = cross_val_predict(pipe, X, yv, cv=cv, method="predict_proba")[:, 1]
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auc = roc_auc_score(yv, proba)
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ap_ = average_precision_score(yv, proba)
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print("\n================ silent-fix classifier (5-fold CV) ================")
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print(f" ROC-AUC : {auc:.3f} (regex baseline ≈ 0.50 = chance)")
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print(f" PR-AUC : {ap_:.3f} (positive prevalence {yv.mean():.2f})")
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print(classification_report(yv, (proba >= 0.5).astype(int),
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target_names=["non-fix", "silent-fix"], digits=3))
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verdict = ("BEATS baseline — worth wiring into curation" if auc >= 0.75
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else "NOT better than baseline — do not ship" if auc < 0.65
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else "marginal — needs more data / deep embeddings")
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print(f" VERDICT : {verdict}")
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if a.model_out and auc >= 0.75:
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import pickle
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pipe.fit(X, yv)
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a.model_out.write_bytes(pickle.dumps(pipe))
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print(f" saved model -> {a.model_out}")
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return 0
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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raise SystemExit(main())

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