-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 2
Expand file tree
/
Copy pathmain_separate_models.py
More file actions
363 lines (323 loc) · 20.9 KB
/
Copy pathmain_separate_models.py
File metadata and controls
363 lines (323 loc) · 20.9 KB
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
# main.py
import os
import sys
import pandas as pd
import prepare_data
import prepare_data_egs_heat
class GeothermalPowerPlant:
def __init__(self, plant_type, massflux=0.0, power=0.0, condenser_temperature=0.0, condenser_pressure=0.0,
vapor_fraction=0.0, f_co2=0.0, f_ch4=0.0):
"""Initialize plant_type."""
self.plant_type = plant_type # conventional, enhanced or egs_heat
self.massflux = massflux # kg s-1
self.power = power # kW
self.condenser_temperature = condenser_temperature # K
self.condenser_pressure = condenser_pressure # bar
self.vapor_fraction = vapor_fraction # fraction of water vapor in conventional power plant
self.f_co2 = f_co2 # fraction of CO2 in geofluid
self.f_ch4 = f_ch4 # fraction of CH4 in geofluid
(self.alpha, self.beta_20, self.beta_10, self.beta_5, self.chi_20, self.chi_15, self.chi_10,
self.chi_5, self.delta_15, self.delta_10, self.delta_5, self.alpha_egs_heat, self.beta_egs_heat,
self.gamma_egs_heat) = self.read_coefficients()
@staticmethod
def read_coefficients():
# Check first if coefficient and literature data exist and if not, prepare them.
while True:
filelist = ['data/alpha.json','data/beta_20.json','data/beta_10.json','data/beta_5.json','data/chi_20.json',
'data/chi_15.json','data/chi_10.json','data/chi_5.json','data/delta_15.json',
'data/delta_10.json','data/delta_5.json','data/lit_conv.json','data/lit_egs.json']
if all([os.path.isfile(f) for f in filelist]):
break
else:
data = prepare_data.Preparation("data/simplified_SI.docx")
# Read the tables
data.read_data()
# Save all DataFrames to JSON files
data.write_output("data/")
print(f"Coefficient and literature data prepared and saved to data/.")
while True:
filelist = ['data/alpha_egs_heat.json','data/beta_egs_heat.json','data/gamma_egs_heat.json']
if all([os.path.isfile(f) for f in filelist]):
break
else:
data = prepare_data_egs_heat.Preparation("data/Coefficients_Douziech_et_al_2021.xlsx")
# Read the tables
data.read_data()
# Save all DataFrames to JSON files
data.write_output("data/")
print(f"Coefficient and literature data prepared and saved to data/.")
alpha_df = pd.read_json('data/alpha.json')
beta_20_df = pd.read_json('data/beta_20.json')
beta_10_df = pd.read_json('data/beta_10.json')
beta_5_df = pd.read_json('data/beta_5.json')
chi_20_df = pd.read_json('data/chi_20.json')
chi_15_df = pd.read_json('data/chi_15.json')
chi_10_df = pd.read_json('data/chi_10.json')
chi_5_df = pd.read_json('data/chi_5.json')
delta_15_df = pd.read_json('data/delta_15.json')
delta_10_df = pd.read_json('data/delta_10.json')
delta_5_df = pd.read_json('data/delta_5.json')
alpha_egs_heat_df = pd.read_json('data/alpha_egs_heat.json')
beta_egs_heat_df = pd.read_json('data/beta_egs_heat.json')
gamma_egs_heat_df = pd.read_json('data/gamma_egs_heat.json')
return (alpha_df, beta_20_df, beta_10_df,beta_5_df,chi_20_df,chi_15_df,chi_10_df,
chi_5_df,delta_15_df,delta_10_df, delta_5_df, alpha_egs_heat_df, beta_egs_heat_df, gamma_egs_heat_df)
def check_parameter(self,key,value):
if self.plant_type == 'conventional':
valid_ranges = {'operational_CO2_emissions': [0,740,"Operational CO2 emissions"],
'operational_CH4_emissions': [0,740,"Operational CH4 emissions"],
'average_depth_of_wells': [660, 4000, "Average depth of wells"],
'producers_capacity': [0, 20, "Producers' capacity"],
'initial_harmonic_decline_rate': [0.01, 0.1, "Initial harmonic decline rate"],
'success_rate_primary_wells': [0, 100, "Success rate, primary wells"],
'condenser_temperature': [273.15, 373.15, "Condenser temperature"],
'vapor_fraction': [0, 1, "Vapor fraction of geofluid"],
'f_co2': [0, 1, "Fraction of CO2 in geofluid"],
'f_ch4': [0, 1, "Fraction of CH4 in geofluid"]
}
if self.plant_type == 'enhanced':
valid_ranges = {'average_depth_of_wells': [2500, 6000, "Average depth of wells"],
'installed_capacity': [0.4, 11.1, "Installed capacity"],
'diesel_wells': [2600, 14200, "Diesel consumption"],
'success_rate_primary_wells': [0, 100, "Success rate, primary wells"]
}
if self.plant_type == 'egs_heat':
valid_ranges = {'power_prod_pump': [200, 1200, "Power production pump"],
'power_inj_pump': [0, 500, "Power injection pump"],
'thermal_power_output': [10, 40, "Thermal power output"],
'number_prod_wells': [1, 2, "Number production wells"],
'number_inj_wells': [1, 2, "Number injection wells"],
'length_well': [1300, 5500, "Length_well"],
'share_coal': [0, 1, "Share of coal"],
'share_oil': [0, 1, "Share of oil"],
'share_nuclear': [0, 1, "Share of nuclear"],
'share_NG': [0, 1, "Share of natural gas"],
'share_wind': [0, 1, "Share of wind"],
'share_solar': [0, 1, "Share of solar"],
'share_biomass': [0, 1, "Share of biomass"],
'share_hydro': [0, 1, "Share of hydro"]
}
if key in valid_ranges.keys() and (value < valid_ranges[key][0] or value > valid_ranges[key][1]):
print("Error: "+valid_ranges[key][2]+" of "+str(value)+" outside valid range ["
+str(valid_ranges[key][0])+"-"+str(valid_ranges[key][1])+"]")
sys.exit(1)
def simple_impact_model(self, parameters, threshold=0.2):
# Note that coefficients like alpha_1 or beta_3 are referenced as alpha.iloc[0] or beta.iloc[2] i.e. the index
# is one number smaller than the coefficient in Paulillo et al. (2022) due to Python indexing.
# Separate models are used for reliability thresholds 20%/15%/10%/5%.
category_k = []
impact_k = []
if self.plant_type == 'conventional':
# Check if input parameters are in valid range of Paulillo et al. (2021),
# https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cesys.2021.100054
for key, value in parameters.items():
self.check_parameter(key,value)
# Treat climage change category separately for conventional geothermal power plants.
# 20%/15%/10%/5%
if 'operational_CO2_emissions' and 'operational_CH4_emissions' in parameters.keys():
impact_cat = (parameters['operational_CO2_emissions'] * self.alpha.loc['climate change'].iloc[0]
+ parameters['operational_CH4_emissions'] * self.alpha.loc['climate change'].iloc[1]
+ self.alpha.loc['climate change'].iloc[2])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append('climate change')
# Treat all other environmental impact categories.
# 20%
if threshold == 0.2 and 'average_depth_of_wells' and 'producers_capacity' in parameters.keys():
for index, beta in self.beta_20.iterrows():
impact_cat = ((parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[0] + beta.iloc[1])
/ parameters['producers_capacity']
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[2] + beta.iloc[3])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# 15%
elif threshold == 0.15 and 'average_depth_of_wells' and 'producers_capacity' in parameters.keys():
for index, beta in self.beta_20.iterrows():
impact_cat = ((parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[0]+ beta.iloc[1])
/ parameters['producers_capacity']
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[2] + beta.iloc[3])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# 10%
elif (threshold == 0.1
and 'average_depth_of_wells' and 'producers_capacity'
and 'initial_harmonic_decline_rate' in parameters.keys()) :
for index, beta in self.beta_10.iterrows():
impact_cat = ((parameters['initial_harmonic_decline_rate'] * parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] *
beta.iloc[0]
+ parameters['initial_harmonic_decline_rate'] * beta.iloc[1]
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[2]
+ beta.iloc[3]
) / parameters['producers_capacity']
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[4]
+ beta.iloc[5])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# 5%
elif (threshold == 0.05
and 'average_depth_of_wells' and 'producers_capacity' and 'success_rate_primary_wells'
and 'initial_harmonic_decline_rate' in parameters.keys()):
for index, beta in self.beta_5.iterrows():
impact_cat = ((parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] *
parameters['initial_harmonic_decline_rate'] * parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] *
beta.iloc[0]
+ parameters['initial_harmonic_decline_rate']
* parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * beta.iloc[1]
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[2]
+ parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * beta.iloc[3]
) / (parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * parameters['producers_capacity'])
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * beta.iloc[4]
+ beta.iloc[5])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
elif self.plant_type == 'enhanced':
# Check if input parameters are in valid range of Paulillo et al. (2021),
# https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cesys.2021.100054
for key, value in parameters.items():
self.check_parameter(key,value)
# 20%
if threshold == 0.2 and 'installed_capacity' in parameters.keys():
for index, chi in self.chi_20.iterrows():
impact_cat = chi.iloc[0] / parameters['installed_capacity'] + chi.iloc[1]
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# 15%
elif threshold == 0.15 and 'installed_capacity' in parameters.keys():
# Group 1
for index, chi in self.chi_15.iterrows():
impact_cat = chi.iloc[0] / parameters['installed_capacity'] + chi.iloc[1]
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# Group 2
if 'diesel_wells' in parameters.keys():
for index, delta in self.delta_15.iterrows():
impact_cat = (parameters['diesel_wells'] * delta.iloc[0] + delta.iloc[1]
/ parameters['installed_capacity'] + delta.iloc[2])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# 10%
elif threshold == 0.1 and 'installed_capacity' in parameters.keys():
# Group 1
for index, chi in self.chi_10.iterrows():
impact_cat = chi.iloc[0] / parameters['installed_capacity'] + chi.iloc[1]
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# Group 2
if 'diesel_wells' in parameters.keys():
for index, delta in self.delta_10.iterrows():
impact_cat = (parameters['diesel_wells'] * delta.iloc[0] + delta.iloc[1]
/ parameters['installed_capacity'] + delta.iloc[2])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# 5%
elif (threshold == 0.05 and 'success_rate_primary_wells' and 'average_depth_of_wells'
and 'installed_capacity' in parameters.keys()):
# Group 1
for index, chi in self.chi_5.iterrows():
impact_cat = ((parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * parameters['average_depth_of_wells']
* chi.iloc[0] + parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * chi.iloc[1]
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * chi.iloc[2])
/ (parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * parameters['installed_capacity'])
+ chi.iloc[3])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
# Group 2
if 'diesel_wells' in parameters.keys():
for index, delta in self.delta_5.iterrows():
impact_cat = ((parameters['diesel_wells'] * parameters['average_depth_of_wells']
* parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * delta.iloc[0]
+ parameters['diesel_wells'] * parameters['average_depth_of_wells']
* delta.iloc[1]
+ parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * parameters['average_depth_of_wells']
* delta.iloc[2] + parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * delta.iloc[3]
+ parameters['average_depth_of_wells'] * delta.iloc[4])
/ (parameters['success_rate_primary_wells'] * parameters['installed_capacity'])
+ delta.iloc[5])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
elif self.plant_type == 'egs_heat':
# Check if input parameters are in valid range of Douziech et al. (2021),
# https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.0c06751
for key, value in parameters.items():
self.check_parameter(key,value)
if ('share_coal' and 'share_NG' and 'share_nuclear' and 'share_oil' and 'share_hydro' and 'share_wind'
and 'share_biomass' and 'share_solar' and 'number_inj_wells' and 'number_prod_wells'
and 'length_well' and 'power_prod_pump' and 'power_inj_pump'
and 'thermal_power_output') in parameters.keys():
for (index, alpha), (index_b, beta), (index_c, gamma) in zip(self.alpha_egs_heat.iterrows(),
self.beta_egs_heat.iterrows(),
self.gamma_egs_heat.iterrows()):
impact_cat = (((parameters['number_inj_wells'] * parameters['power_inj_pump']
+ parameters['number_prod_wells'] * parameters['power_prod_pump'])
* (alpha.iloc[0] * parameters['share_biomass']
+ alpha.iloc[1] * parameters['share_coal']
+ alpha.iloc[2] * parameters['share_hydro']
+ alpha.iloc[3] * parameters['share_NG']
+ alpha.iloc[4] * parameters['share_nuclear']
+ alpha.iloc[5] * parameters['share_oil']
+ alpha.iloc[6] * parameters['share_solar']
+ alpha.iloc[7] * parameters['share_wind'])
+ (alpha.iloc[8] * parameters['number_inj_wells']
+ alpha.iloc[9] * parameters['number_prod_wells'] * parameters['power_prod_pump']
+ (parameters['number_inj_wells'] + parameters['number_prod_wells'])
* (alpha.iloc[10] * 10**(gamma.iloc[0] * parameters['length_well'])
+ alpha.iloc[11] * parameters['length_well']
+ alpha.iloc[12] * parameters['length_well']**beta.iloc[0]
+ alpha.iloc[13] * parameters['length_well']**beta.iloc[1]
+ alpha.iloc[14] * parameters['length_well']**beta.iloc[2])
+alpha.iloc[15]))
/ parameters['thermal_power_output'])
impact_k.append(impact_cat)
category_k.append(index)
return category_k, impact_k
def operational_ghg_emissions(self):
# Check input parameters
self.check_parameter('condenser_temperature', self.condenser_temperature)
self.check_parameter('vapor_fraction', self.vapor_fraction)
self.check_parameter('f_co2', self.f_co2)
self.check_parameter('f_ch4', self.f_ch4)
# Using Henry's law to compute how much greenhouse gases are released (i.e. in vapor phase in condenser)
massflux = self.massflux * self.vapor_fraction
h_cp_s_co2 = 0.034 # mol l-1 bar-1
mw_co2 = 44.009 # g mol-1
density_water = 996 # kg m-3 at 30°C
#Parameters for Antoine equation for T in °C and P in mmHg; 1°C<T<100°C
param_a = 8.07131
param_b = 1730.63
param_c = 233.426
vapor_pressure = 10**(param_a-param_b/(param_c+self.condenser_temperature-273.15))
vapor_pressure = vapor_pressure / 750.062 # mmHg to bar
# It is assumed that the volume of liquid water consists of all water while water vapor should be subtracted
# from the volume of liquid water. It is further assumed that the non-condensable gas consists only of CO2.
pressure_co2 = max(self.condenser_pressure - vapor_pressure,0)
f_direct_co2 = 1-h_cp_s_co2*pressure_co2*(1-self.f_co2)/density_water /(self.f_co2/mw_co2)
print("Fraction of CO2 in gas phase in condenser",f_direct_co2)
operational_co2_emissions = massflux*3600/self.power * self.f_co2 * f_direct_co2
return operational_co2_emissions
def main():
# Conventional geothermal power plant - median literature values
parameters_conv = {'operational_CO2_emissions': 77, # gCO2/kWh
'operational_CH4_emissions': 0.0, # gCH4/kWh
'producers_capacity': 5.9, # MW/well
'average_depth_of_wells': 2250, # m/well
'initial_harmonic_decline_rate': 0.05,
'success_rate_primary_wells': 72.1} # %
plant_conv = GeothermalPowerPlant('conventional')
category_k, impact_k = plant_conv.simple_impact_model(parameters_conv,0.05)
#print("Environmental impact categories", category_k)
#print("Environmental impact of conventional plant", impact_k)
# Enhanced geothermal power plant - median literature values
parameters_egs = {'installed_capacity': 5.7, # MW
'average_depth_of_wells': 4250, # m/well
'diesel_wells': 8500, # MJ/m
'success_rate_primary_wells': 72.1} # %
plant_egs = GeothermalPowerPlant('enhanced')
category_k, impact_k = plant_egs.simple_impact_model(parameters_egs,0.05)
#print("Environmental impact categories", category_k)
#print("Environmental impact of enhanced plant", impact_k)
plant_conv = GeothermalPowerPlant('conventional',massflux=100.0, power=70000.0,
condenser_temperature=303.25, condenser_pressure=0.1,
vapor_fraction=0.3, f_co2=0.02)
operational_co2_emissions = plant_conv.operational_ghg_emissions()
print("Operational CO2 emissions [kgCO2eq/kWh]:",operational_co2_emissions)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()