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ClimX: A Challenge for Extreme-Aware Climate Model Emulation

ClimX diagram

ClimX focuses on emulating high-resolution daily climate outputs from the NorESM2-MM Earth System Model, with special emphasis on accurately reproducing climate extremes (e.g., heatwaves, droughts, and extreme precipitation), not just mean climate behavior.

At a glance

  • Core task: Predict daily, 1° resolution climate variables from greenhouse gas and aerosol forcings.
  • Submission rule: Models must predict the daily target variables first; leaderboard indices must be computed from those outputs.
  • Data: Full dataset (~200GB, Hugging Face) and lightweight prototype dataset (<1GB, Kaggle).
  • Evaluation: Region-wise nNSE averaged across 15 extreme climate indices.
  • Test setting: Held-out SSP2-4.5 scenario.
  • Optional track: Probabilistic predictions are evaluated with CRPS on a separate Kaggle UQ track.

Getting started (recommended)

For this repository, using mamba is recommended for faster and more reliable environment solves.

# one-time: install mamba into base conda
conda install -n base -c conda-forge mamba

# create the environment from this repo
mamba env create -f environment.yml
conda activate clima_emu_new

Then launch Jupyter and open playground.ipynb:

jupyter notebook

Playground and key files

  • playground.ipynb: End-to-end notebook for data loading, preprocessing, training baseline models, evaluation, Kaggle submission formatting, and result visualization.
  • environment.yml: Full Python environment specification used by the notebook and training scripts.
  • train.py: Script-based baseline training workflow (useful when you prefer Python scripts over notebooks).
  • src/: Core code for preprocessing, models, metrics, utilities, and evaluation helpers.

Official challenge links

Sponsorship

ClimX is supported by ESA Phi-lab, which sponsors the challenge prizes and travel support for winning teams.

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Extreme-aware climate model emulation

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