Predict predeploy docs and audit tracker consolidation#1095
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- capacity-and-gas-findings: record the nav-stress-atm run (OOGed ~4,070, not the ~1,372 fuzz worst case), mark the expensive-branch worst case unconfirmed in-instrument, and point pool-total follow-up at batch-max-markets with the EInsufficientCash (pool-capital) entanglement caveat. - add price-memo-findings-2026-07-01: single-market flush OOG eliminated (5,000 orders = ~47-54% of the 5e9 cap, ~2x slope reduction), multi-market pool-total gas cliff ~8,640-9,400 (entangled with pool capital); tied to the uncommitted NAV price-memo change. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
…th, recall/precision evals Implements the recommended predict-audit improvements on top of the existing audit-tracker consolidation: - Cross-run adjudication memory (`priorAdjudications`): re-found refuted/settled findings are suppressed (returned under `prior_rediscovered`) instead of re-verified at full panel cost; confirmed priors still flow into kept[]. - Delta-audit scope: `args.files` (orchestrator + rule-sweep) concentrates lenses on a change set + blast radius; SKILL.md documents the changed-file->unit map and a watermark flow for incremental runs. - Null-verdict handling: a dead verifier is retried once on Claude, then surfaced as `unverified-panel` / `verifier-dead` (never a silent drop or quiet `uncertain`); High/Critical with <2 live verdicts flagged `panel_degraded`; `kept` split into confirmed/uncertain/panel-dead with `panel_severity` recorded. - Sibling parity: per-lane retirement, cross-model verify, and `depth` presets ported to ownership-walk + rule-sweep; `profile:'security'` preset added. - preflight.py: pre-run drift lint (fatal on primer module-map drift, warns on D-ids that resolve only to the local decision journal) — wired into Step 1. - check_curation.py: no-slip guard on the findings.json -> open-items.md hop (every open/panel-dead finding must be id-referenced or dispositioned). - verify-bench.workflow.js + evals/verify_corpus.json: cheap panel-only PRECISION bench; evals/seeds.md: seeded-bug RECALL harness. - consolidate.py renders the new panel-health statuses; test_consolidate.py covers them. Test plan (all green): - node --check on all four workflow scripts - python3 evals/test_consolidate.py - python3 preflight.py (exit 0; warns on dangling D025/D026/D031) - python3 -m py_compile preflight.py check_curation.py consolidate.py - check_curation.py smoke (fail on unaccounted, pass when dispositioned) Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
tonylee08
approved these changes
Jul 2, 2026
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Summary
packages/predict/predeploydocs, including open items, rounding policy, oracle calibration, and capacity findings.predict-auditskill into the committed open-items tracker and remove the old gitignored open-items/sync-script source-of-truth flow.Key decisions
packages/predict/predeploy/open-items.mdis the only team-facing open-items tracker; ignored audit reports remain raw run artifacts only.Test plan
git diff --checkpython3 .claude/skills/predict-audit/evals/test_consolidate.pynode --check .claude/skills/predict-audit/orchestrator.workflow.jsnode --check .claude/skills/predict-audit/ownership-walk.workflow.jsnode --check .claude/skills/predict-audit/rule-sweep.workflow.jscd packages/predict/harness/ts && npx tsc --noEmitsui move test --path packages/predict --gas-limit 100000000000