feat(skills): add outcome hypothesis authoring

.cspell.json

@@ -86,6 +86,8 @@
     "azuredeploy",
     "BABOK",
     "backlinked",
+    "baselined",
+    "baselining",
     "behaviour",
     "behavioural",
     "behaviours",
@@ -152,6 +154,7 @@
     "Infima",
     "invalidat",
     "ISTQB",
+    "investability",
     "langchain",
     "learning",
     "licence",

.github/instructions/shared/disclaimer-language.instructions.md

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 ---
 description: "Centralized disclaimer language for AI-assisted planning and review agents requiring professional review acknowledgment"
-applyTo: '**/.copilot-tracking/rai-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/rai-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/security-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/sssc-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/sssc-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/performance-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/adr-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/dt/**, **/.copilot-tracking/ds/**, **/docs/planning/adrs/**, **/.copilot-tracking/reviews/code-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/security/**, **/.copilot-tracking/accessibility/**, **/.copilot-tracking/privacy-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/privacy-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/prd-sessions/**, **/.copilot-tracking/brd-sessions/**, **/.copilot-tracking/documentation/**'
+applyTo: '**/.copilot-tracking/rai-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/rai-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/security-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/sssc-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/sssc-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/performance-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/adr-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/dt/**, **/.copilot-tracking/ds/**, **/docs/planning/adrs/**, **/docs/planning/outcome-hypotheses/**, **/.copilot-tracking/reviews/code-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/security/**, **/.copilot-tracking/accessibility/**, **/.copilot-tracking/privacy-plans/**, **/.copilot-tracking/privacy-reviews/**, **/.copilot-tracking/prd-sessions/**, **/.copilot-tracking/brd-sessions/**, **/.copilot-tracking/documentation/**'
 ---
 
 # Disclaimer Language
@@ -42,6 +42,11 @@ Authoring contract (parsed by scripts/linting/Validate-PlannerArtifacts.ps1):
 > [!CAUTION]
 > **Disclaimer:** This agent is an assistive tool only. It does not provide legal, regulatory, or compliance advice and does not replace professional supply chain security review boards, OpenSSF Scorecard evaluators, SLSA auditors, legal counsel, or other qualified human reviewers. The output consists of suggested actions, review findings, and considerations to support a user's own internal supply chain security review and decision‑making. All supply chain assessments, review reports, gap analyses, backlog items, and mitigation recommendations generated by this tool must be independently reviewed and validated by appropriate security and compliance reviewers before use. Outputs from this tool do not constitute security approval, compliance certification, or regulatory sign‑off.
 
+## Outcome-Hypothesis
+
+> [!CAUTION]
+> **Disclaimer:** This skill is an assistive decision-support tool only. It does not provide financial or professional investment advice and does not replace affected stakeholders, measurement owners, accountable sponsors or decision owners, or other qualified human reviewers. The investability verdict is an evidence-readiness signal only: "investable" means the defined evidence gates passed, and "not investable" means required evidence is incomplete. All scorecards, outcome hypotheses, investability verdicts, targets, and measurement plans must be independently reviewed and validated by affected stakeholders, the measurement owner, and the accountable sponsor or decision owner before funding, commitment, or implementation. Outputs from this tool do not constitute investment approval, funding authorization, stakeholder commitment, or measurement sign-off.
+
 ## ADR Planning
 
 > [!CAUTION]

.github/plugin/marketplace.json

@@ -752,6 +752,7 @@
         "skills/project-planning/functional-planner",
         "skills/project-planning/gitlab",
         "skills/project-planning/jira",
+        "skills/project-planning/outcome-hypothesis",
         "skills/project-planning/performance-slo-planner",
         "skills/project-planning/privacy-standards",
         "skills/project-planning/rai-planner",
@@ -919,6 +920,7 @@
           "skills/hve-core/vally-tests": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/adr-author": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/experiment-design": "experimental",
+          "skills/project-planning/outcome-hypothesis": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/performance-slo-planner": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/privacy-standards": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/rai-planner": "experimental",
@@ -1011,7 +1013,7 @@
         "repo": "microsoft/hve-core",
         "path": ".github"
       },
-      "description": "PRDs, BRDs, ADRs, architecture diagrams, and cross-tracker backlog management for Azure DevOps, GitHub, and Jira",
+      "description": "Outcome hypotheses, PRDs, BRDs, ADRs, architecture diagrams, and cross-tracker backlog management for Azure DevOps, GitHub, and Jira",
       "version": "3.2.2",
       "author": {
         "name": "Microsoft",
@@ -1026,6 +1028,8 @@
         "adr",
         "brd",
         "prd",
+        "outcome-hypothesis",
+        "outcome-led",
         "diagrams",
         "planning",
         "rai",
@@ -1121,6 +1125,7 @@
         "skills/project-planning/functional-planner",
         "skills/project-planning/gitlab",
         "skills/project-planning/jira",
+        "skills/project-planning/outcome-hypothesis",
         "skills/project-planning/performance-slo-planner",
         "skills/project-planning/privacy-standards",
         "skills/project-planning/rai-planner",
@@ -1188,6 +1193,7 @@
           "skills/hve-core/architecture-diagrams": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/adr-author": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/experiment-design": "experimental",
+          "skills/project-planning/outcome-hypothesis": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/performance-slo-planner": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/privacy-standards": "experimental",
           "skills/project-planning/rai-planner": "experimental",