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Model update: revolver removed, $78.8M topline - #24

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hhff merged 1 commit into
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worktree-deck-format
Aug 10, 2026
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Model update: revolver removed, $78.8M topline#24
hhff merged 1 commit into
mainfrom
worktree-deck-format

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@hhff hhff commented Aug 10, 2026

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Applies Paul's Aug 10 model rework and replacement slides (thread: Updated FI Model and Sample Deck):

  • Page 14: 2.1x point-of-sale payback on a $200 CAC; implied acquisition cost falls $183 → $137; 90,981 cumulative flagship devices (0.07% of US households); Plaud at ~$250M ARR / 2M+ devices
  • Page 24: working-capital line removed per Paul (nothing drawn in any scenario); 'Follow-on equity modelled · None' added; body states operating profitability without a second equity round
  • Page 19: modelled licensing build table ($1.3M → $19.2M, 8% → 24% of revenue) with the 90%/20% margin note
  • Page 18: anchors updated to law + accounting firms and ~900M annual device shipments
  • A1–A4: $78.8M revenue build, base case with headcount and cash rows, all-cases-Y4-positive scenarios with cash troughs, methodology swaps the revolver for billing/deposit mechanics and excludes drawn debt
  • Source lines drop 'v3.1' for 'Family Intelligence financial model'

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Unit econ moves to 2.1x on a $200 CAC with 90,981 flagship units; the ask
drops the working-capital row for 'follow-on equity modelled: none' and
states operating profitability on this round; the platform slide gains the
modelled licensing build table; A1-A4 carry the new revenue, base-case,
scenario, and methodology figures. No debt drawn in any scenario.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@hhff
hhff merged commit 92daf22 into main Aug 10, 2026
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